Tech Cracks, Gold Climbs: Markets Brace for Tariffs and Turbulence

Illustrated throne room scene showing a smiling gold bar wearing a crown seated on a throne, while sad cartoon robots representing Nvidia, Tesla, and AI tech kneel beside it.

Tech stocks extended their slide this week as trade tensions, regulatory pressure, and fading AI optimism weighed heavily on sentiment. While semiconductors struggled and hedge fund shorting intensified, gold continued to outperform, hitting its 17th record high of the year. With fresh tariffs and inflation data on the horizon, markets appear to be bracing for deeper macro dislocations.

Tariffs Rattle Tech While Yields Hold Ground

Nasdaq futures slipped 0.70% late Thursday, capping a sharp two-day sell-off that has left investors increasingly on edge. The tech-led decline reflects broader market anxiety, with chipmakers under pressure and regulatory clouds forming over Big Tech.

Meanwhile, 10-year Treasury yields held steady just below 4.4%, suggesting that bond markets are still clinging to the inflation narrative, even as equities brace for what could be a far more turbulent summer.


Nvidia’s AI Boom Narrative Faces a New Threat

The H20 was designed to comply with U.S. export controls, which aim to restrict China’s access to advanced AI hardware. But in an ironic twist, it may be China’s own push to rein in power-hungry data infrastructure that ends up throttling demand. If fully enforced, the policy could force Chinese firms to scale back on high-performance AI chips, squeezing Nvidia’s prospects in one of its most important overseas markets.

For a stock that once looked untouchable in the AI boom, the narrative is starting to unravel. Geopolitical tensions, regulatory headwinds, and now domestic policy constraints are beginning to weigh on investor confidence.


Hedge Funds Turn Up the Pressure on Big Tech

With rates still elevated, policy uncertainty rising, and last year’s AI-fuelled rally starting to crack, tech is beginning to look exposed. Hedge funds appear to be betting that the sector’s outlook is not just fragile, but overpriced.


Chips Under Fire as Microsoft Pullback Raises Eyebrows

The chip sector remains under pressure, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index closing at 4,415.25 after a 2.07% drop on the day. Losses since the start of the year have now exceeded 11.5%, reinforcing a broader correction that has left investors questioning how much real momentum was behind the AI trade.

AMD continues to underperform, weighed down by concerns over slowing growth in key markets. Broadcom, by contrast, reported strong earnings, driven by steady demand for AI infrastructure and enterprise software. Marvell also delivered a top-line beat, suggesting that not every corner of the sector is struggling.


Alibaba Warns of Speculative Overbuild in AI Infrastructure

With AI hype fuelling a global race to secure chips and energy capacity, some firms are building infrastructure first and trusting demand will catch up. The risk is clear: when commitments are lacking, over-provisioning becomes hard to avoid. That kind of imbalance might not show up in earnings right away, but in a capital-heavy sector like AI, the drag eventually surfaces.

Still, Tsai made it clear that Alibaba is not backing off. The company plans to invest around $53 billion over the next three years in AI and cloud infrastructure. It’s the largest and most focused investment cycle in Alibaba’s history — a signal that while the company sees risk, it is still betting heavily on the long-term value of foundational technology.


Gold Steals the Spotlight as Safe-Haven Flows Surge

While equities wobble and tech retreats, gold has quietly stolen the spotlight. Futures surged to $3,060 per ounce, marking the 17th record high of the year, powered by safe-haven flows, a weaker dollar, and continued central bank buying. Investors are rotating out of risk, and gold is enjoying the benefit.

With another round of reciprocal tariffs expected next week and fresh U.S. inflation data due, markets are bracing for more turbulence. Yields may be holding steady for now, but the flight to gold and mounting pressure on tech suggest that investors are positioning for something bigger — a deeper round of macro shocks that could soon come into sharper view.

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